CryptoQuant User Guide
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  • Why trust CryptoQuant data
  • Top 15 Preset Charts ⭐
    • Miner Selling
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    • Market Trend
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  • Intro to On-Chain
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  • Background Knowledge
    • Why Entity Matters
    • What is UTxO?
  • Exchange Flows/Indicators
    • Glossary (Exchange Flows)
    • Exchange In/Outflow and Netflow
    • Exchange Reserve
    • Exchange to Exchange
    • Exchange Addresses Count
    • Exchange Transactions Count
    • Fund Flow Ratio
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    • Exchange Inflow CDD
    • Exchange Inflow - Spent Output Age Bands
    • Exchange Inflow - Spent Output Value Bands
  • Miner Flows/Indicators
    • Glossary (Miner)
    • Miner Outflow
    • Miner to Exchange
    • Miner Supply Ratio
    • Miners' Position Index (MPI)
  • UTXO Data/Indicators
    • Glossary (UTxO)
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    • Profit and Loss (Supply)
    • Coin Days Destroyed (CDD)
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    • Mean Coin Age (MCA)
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    • Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR)
      • aSOPR (Adjusted SOPR)
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      • UTXO Age Bands
      • Realized Cap - UTXO Age Bands
      • Realized Price - UTXO Age Bands
      • UTXO Count - Age Bands
      • Spent Output Age Bands
    • UTXO Bands (Value)
      • UTXO Value Bands
      • Realized Cap - UTXO Value Bands USD
      • UTXO Count - Value Bands
      • Spent Output Value Bands
  • Market Data/Indicators
    • Glossary (Market)
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    • Exchange Whale Ratio
    • MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) Ratio
  • Network Indicators
    • NVT Ratio
    • NVT Golden Cross
    • Puell Multiple
    • Stock to Flow Ratio
    • Stock to Flow Reversion
    • NVM Ratio
  • Stablecoin Exchange Flows/Indicators
    • Glossary (Stablecoin)
    • Stablecoin Network Data
    • Stablecoin Exchange In/Outflow & Netflow
    • Stablecoin Exchange Reserve
    • Stablecoin Exchange Addresses Count
    • Stablecoin Exchange Transactions Count
    • Stablecoins Ratio
    • Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR)
  • Fund data & Premium
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  • Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE)
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  • Coinbase Premium
  • Korea Premium Index
  • Bank Supply Ratio
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On this page
  • Definition
  • Interpretation
  • By value itself
  • By Examining Trend
  • Use Case
  • Spotting Exit Points for Selling: Bitcoin Miners' Position Index (MPI)
  • Link to Our Data and Dashboard

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  1. Miner Flows/Indicators

Miners' Position Index (MPI)

Miners' Position Index (MPI) is defined as the ratio of the number of all miners' outflows in USD divided by the 365-day moving average.

Definition

The Miners' Position Index (MPI) metric is a valuable indicator that evaluates the relationship between the amount of Bitcoin (BTC) mined in the past year and its corresponding moving average over the same period.

During bear markets, an increase in the MPI signals a notable trend – miners potentially capitulating and selling their mined Bitcoin at a loss. This phenomenon often occurs at market peaks, serving as a precursor to impending price corrections. Miners, recognizing the need to manage costs and optimize resources, may be prompted to move larger-than-usual amounts of their mined bitcoins during such market conditions.

In bull markets, however, the MPI can reveal a different narrative. As market sentiment shifts, miners may choose to combine rewards from block transactions strategically, aligning with the prevailing bullish trend.

This metric provides a nuanced perspective on miners' behavior, helping market participants gauge the ebb and flow of mined bitcoins against market dynamics, transactional costs, and the overall health of the network. This indicator is inspired by Puell Multiple.

MPI=365 days moving z-score (Capitulation Index)\text{MPI} = \text{365 days moving z-score (Capitulation Index)}MPI=365 days moving z-score (Capitulation Index)
Capitulation Index=Total Miner Outflows in USD365 days moving average (Total Miner Outflows in USD)\text{Capitulation Index} = \frac{\text{Total Miner Outflows in USD}}{\text{365 days moving average (Total Miner Outflows in USD)}} Capitulation Index=365 days moving average (Total Miner Outflows in USD)Total Miner Outflows in USD​

Interpretation

By value itself

  • High: Miners are sending their coins more than usual- Bearish

  • Low: Miners are sending their coins less than usual - Bullish

By Examining Trend

  • Increasing: Miners are being more involved in selling and increasing their sell - Bearish

  • Decreasing: Miners are being less involved in selling and decreasing their sell - Bullish

Unlike Miners outflow, Bitcoin Miners' Position Index (MPI) takes the average behavior of miners into account by using 365 days moving average. Also, MPI explains the relative miner's liquidation behavior compared to the historical average, assuming that most of the outflows from miners are heading to exchanges for selling.

Assuming that miners are good at selling their positions at the right price and time as professional traders, MPI is a good indicator for timing exit points (selling) by duplicating their behaviors. This also helps to view miners' profitability along with Puell Multiple.

Use Case

Spotting Exit Points for Selling: Bitcoin Miners' Position Index (MPI)

Given the interpretation that Bitcoin Miners' Position Index (MPI) helps us to spot selling points, we can benefit from the events where the large MPI values occur.

Link to Our Data and Dashboard

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Last updated 1 year ago

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In this use case, we utilize one of the well-known market technical indicators called to detect abnormal MPI values. The below chart illustrates detected spots to exit from the market, selling.

Puell Multiple
Bollinger-band
Miners' Position Index in CryptoQuant Live Chart
Miners' Position Index in CryptoQuant Data API docs
Bitcoin Miner Dashboard
CryptoQuant: Miners' Position Index