MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio is defined as an asset's market capitalization divided by realized capitalization
Definition
MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio is defined as an asset's market capitalization divided by realized capitalization.
MVRV Ratio=Realized CapMarket Cap
Interpretation
By comparing two valuation methods, the MVRV ratio can tell us to get a sense of whether the price is fair or not, which means it is useful to get market tops and bottoms.
It is important to note that historically, it has been an outstanding indicator to spot market top/bottom or local top/bottom that occurred through three halvings.
By value itself
MVRV accounts both realized cap and market cap into account making certain values critical in making an investment decision.
Values over ‘3.7’: Possible Market Top
If the values go above3.7, it could be reasonable to sell the position off
Values under ‘1’: Possible Market Bottom
If the values go under 1, it is time for taking a gradual long position.
By examining trend
If Market cap growth outpaces that of the realized cap, MVRV values rise indicating possible motive for selling.
Increasing trend: Increasing selling pressure
As MVRV increases, it indicates that the market cap is outpacing realized cap meaning there is increasing motive for selling in the market.
Decreasing trend: Decreasing selling pressure
As MVRV decreases, it indicates that realized cap is outpacing the market cap meaning there is decreasing motive for selling in the market.